New

Crisis-ready in 48 hours

New

Crisis-ready in 48 hours

Decision-making, rethought.
For speed. For shocks. For strategy.

Decision-making
rethought.
For speed.
For shocks.
For strategy.

The pioneering DaaS company. Decision-as-a-service for turbulent times.

Explore the Approach

INTRODUCING FOOLISH FUTURES

"Shocks hit fast. Strategy must keep up.

With Decision-as-a-Service, we turn foresight into action – when it matters most."

"Shocks hit fast. Strategy must keep up.

With Decision-as-a-Service, we turn foresight into action – when it matters most."

"Shocks hit fast. Strategy must keep up.

With Decision-as-a-Service, we turn foresight into action – when it matters most."

Marcel Melzer - Founder & CEO

Why decision-making breaks in turbulent times.

Things we once called foolish now shape the headlines. Events once deemed impossible are the new reality. Strategy must evolve – not for what’s probable, but for what’s already unfolding.

Plans collapse under pressure

Black swans break predictions

Bold decisions are delayed or avoided

Teams react. They don’t anticipate.

Survival over Strategy

No decision logic, just gut feeling.

Plans collapse under pressure

Black swans break predictions

Bold decisions are delayed or avoided

Teams react. They don’t anticipate.

Survival over Strategy

No decision logic, just gut feeling.

Plans collapse under pressure

Black swans break predictions

Bold decisions are delayed or avoided

Teams react. They don’t anticipate.

Survival over Strategy

No decision logic, just gut feeling.

Explore our Decision-as-a-Service approach

Explore Decision-as-a-Service approach

PROCESS

How Foolish Futures works.

From uncertainty to Decision Space - in three bold steps.

STEP 1

STEP 2

STEP 3

01 Sense the Signals

We scan immediate disruptions and emerging signals — across data, behavior, and discourse. From sudden shocks to slow shifts, we decode what’s happening now and detect the patterns shaping what’s next.

STEP 1

STEP 2

STEP 3

01 Sense the Signals

We scan immediate disruptions and emerging signals — across data, behavior, and discourse. From sudden shocks to slow shifts, we decode what’s happening now and detect the patterns shaping what’s next.

STEP 1

STEP 2

STEP 3

01 Sense the Signals

We scan immediate disruptions and emerging signals — across data, behavior, and discourse. From sudden shocks to slow shifts, we decode what’s happening now and detect the patterns shaping what’s next.

DECISION AS A SERVICE

Why companies trust Foolish Futures.

Every element built to turn volatility into momentum.

Resilience meets Agility

We help you stay grounded in what works – while adapting fast when it matters most.

Resilience meets Agility

We help you stay grounded in what works – while adapting fast when it matters most.

Resilience meets Agility

We help you stay grounded in what works – while adapting fast when it matters most.

Clearer Future Orientation

We connect trends, tensions, and trajectories and help you to shape future-fit strategies that outlast the noise.

Clearer Future Orientation

We connect trends, tensions, and trajectories and help you to shape future-fit strategies that outlast the noise.

Clearer Future Orientation

We connect trends, tensions, and trajectories and help you to shape future-fit strategies that outlast the noise.

More Confident Decisions

We turn uncertainty into bold, well-grounded options – so your team can move forward with confidence.

More Confident Decisions

We turn uncertainty into bold, well-grounded options – so your team can move forward with confidence.

More Confident Decisions

We turn uncertainty into bold, well-grounded options – so your team can move forward with confidence.

OUR FRAMEWORK

The BBB Framework

The BBB Framework.

The BBB Framework

We help you navigate chaos with clarity. Our Foolish Futures BBB Framework connects short-term pressure with long-term vision – and turns tension into momentum. Between Blue, Bridge, and Bold lies your decision space.

Explore the Framework

SERVICES & PRODUCTS

Turbulent Times. Tailored Decisions.

That’s why we offer Decision-as-a-Service – powered by AI-supported foresight and real-world strategy tools. Our three solutions deliver clarity under pressure: structured, fast, and focused on what truly matters.

🟪 Rapid Foresight

– Clarity in 48h ✅ What you get: Decision kit within 48 hours – including: 🟣 Structured breakdown of the shock event 🟣 2–3 relevant future scenarios 🟣 Ready-to-use decision templates with strategic response options 🟣 Optional Executive call to align and prioritize actions

Request 48h Sprint

🎯 When to use it: After ext shocks, political shifts, supply chain breakdowns – when leadership needs clarity now.

👥 Ideal for: Executive teams, crisis units, M&A leads

💥 Your benefit: Faster alignment under pressure. No guesswork – just decision clarity in record time.

🟦 Future Frame

– Strategic Direction ✅ What you get: A tailored foresight package combining: 🔵 Global megatrend analysis 🔵 Strategic scenario mapping 🔵 Industry-specific implications 🔵 Actionable triggers for strategy updates 🔵 Delivered as a board-ready insight deck or in-person session

Get your Future Frame

🎯 When to use it: During strategy reviews, transformations, when long-term direction feels off.

👥 Ideal for: Leadership, innovation, corporate strategy teams

💥 Your benefit: Data-backed foresight without the fluff — tailored to your business.

⚫ Black Swan Simulator

– Resilience, Tested Live ✅ What you get: A high-pressure simulation including: ⚫ A surprise disruption scenario tailored to your context ⚫ Live team-based decision-making under uncertainty ⚫ Structured group reflection ⚫ Optional strategic debrief & alignment

Book Simulation Briefing

🎯 When to use it: Before major product launches, leadership offsites, test decision resilience.

👥 Ideal for: Executive teams, operations leads, fast-scaling companies, crisis task forces

💥 Your benefit: You don’t just talk resilience — you train it. It turns abstract risk into actionable readiness.

🟪 Rapid Foresight

– Clarity in 48h ✅ What you get: Decision kit within 48 hours – including: 🟣 Structured breakdown of the shock event 🟣 2–3 relevant future scenarios 🟣 Ready-to-use decision templates with strategic response options 🟣 Optional Executive call to align and prioritize actions

Act with clarity

🎯 When to use it: After ext shocks, political shifts, supply chain breakdowns – when leadership needs clarity now.

👥 Ideal for: Executive teams, crisis units, M&A leads

💥 Your benefit: Faster alignment under pressure. No guesswork – just decision clarity in record time.

🟦 Future Frame

– Strategic Direction ✅ What you get: A tailored foresight package combining: 🔵 Global megatrend analysis 🔵 Strategic scenario mapping 🔵 Industry-specific implications 🔵 Actionable triggers for strategy updates 🔵 Delivered as a board-ready insight deck or in-person session

Start Future Frame

🎯 When to use it: During strategy reviews, transformations, when long-term direction feels off.

👥 Ideal for: Leadership, innovation, corporate strategy teams

💥 Your benefit: Data-backed foresight without the fluff — tailored to your business.

⚫ Black Swan Simulator

– Resilience, Tested Live ✅ What you get: A high-pressure simulation including: ⚫ A surprise disruption scenario tailored to your context ⚫ Live team-based decision-making under uncertainty ⚫ Structured group reflection ⚫ Optional strategic debrief & alignment

Explore Simulator

🎯 When to use it: Before major product launches, leadership offsites, test decision resilience.

👥 Ideal for: Executive teams, operations leads, fast-scaling companies, crisis task forces

💥 Your benefit: You don’t just talk resilience — you train it. It turns abstract risk into actionable readiness.

🟪 Rapid Foresight

– Clarity in 48h ✅ What you get: Decision kit within 48 hours – including: 🟣 Structured breakdown of the shock event 🟣 2–3 relevant future scenarios 🟣 Ready-to-use decision templates with strategic response options 🟣 Optional Executive call to align and prioritize actions

Respond with clarity

🎯 When to use it: After ext shocks, political shifts, supply chain breakdowns – when leadership needs clarity now.

👥 Ideal for: Executive teams, crisis units, M&A leads

💥 Your benefit: Faster alignment under pressure. No guesswork – just decision clarity in record time.

🟦 Future Frame

– Strategic Direction ✅ What you get: A tailored foresight package combining: 🔵 Global megatrend analysis 🔵 Strategic scenario mapping 🔵 Industry-specific implications 🔵 Actionable triggers for strategy updates 🔵 Delivered as a board-ready insight deck or in-person session

Get your Future Frame

🎯 When to use it: During strategy reviews, transformations, when long-term direction feels off.

👥 Ideal for: Leadership, innovation, corporate strategy teams

💥 Your benefit: Data-backed foresight without the fluff — tailored to your business.

⚫ Black Swan Simulator

– Resilience, Tested Live ✅ What you get: A high-pressure simulation including: ⚫ A surprise disruption scenario tailored to your context ⚫ Live team-based decision-making under uncertainty ⚫ Structured group reflection ⚫ Optional strategic debrief & alignment

Explore the Simulator

🎯 When to use it: Before major product launches, leadership offsites, test decision resilience.

👥 Ideal for: Executive teams, operations leads, fast-scaling companies, crisis task forces

💥 Your benefit: You don’t just talk resilience — you train it. It turns abstract risk into actionable readiness.

Explore Full Service Overview

COMPARISON

Why Foolish Futures stands out.

What you want

Clear, confident decisions

External strategic perspective

Mutual trust & intellectual honesty

Decisions under pressure - fast, not forced

Industry-specific insights that match your reality

What you often get

Analysis paralysis

Echo chambers instead of challenge

Vendor slide decks

Endless dicussions without alignment

Off-the-shelf trends that don't fit your market

What we deliver

Decision-ready option sets

Bold outside-in impulses

Radical clarity - fast & honest

Actionable decision space in 48 hours

Scenarios tailored to your specific dynamics, not headlines

TESTIMONIALS

What our clients say

Insights from leaders who worked with Foolish Futures.

TESTIMONIALS

What our clients say

Insights from leaders who worked with Foolish Futures.

TESTIMONIALS

What our clients say

Insights from leaders who worked with Foolish Futures.

“Foolish Futures helped us make solid decisions in a highly volatile market environment – fast. The scenarios were not only realistic, but also provocative enough to spark internal debate. Combining strategic depth with clear visualizations, they made it easier for our team to turn uncertainty into actionable options.”

Head of Strategy

Medium-sized Industry Company

"The Foolish Futures team supported us with a tailored analysis of the most relevant megatrends and technology trends for our strategy process. Their highly professional approach and focused insights – delivered with just the right level of detail – helped expand our team’s strategic perspective. We were able to identify risks, uncover opportunities, and define concrete initiatives. What impressed us most: the efficiency of the process. With minimal company-specific input, they extracted maximum relevance."

Frank Eichhorn

Executive Vice President, Strategy - BW Converting

"At first, I was unsure whether something as abstract as ‘foresight’ could really help in our day-to-day. But the Foolish Futures framework brought surprising clarity – and helped us make more confident, bolder decisions. What stood out was the pragmatic, no-nonsense approach.”

Innovation Manager

Family Owned Manufacturing Company

USE CASES

Situations we are built for.

Supply Chain Disruption

When deliveries stop, decisions can’t. We help you uncover root causes fast, explore alternative sourcing, and regain control in uncertain networks.

Supply Chain Disruption

When deliveries stop, decisions can’t. We help you uncover root causes fast, explore alternative sourcing, and regain control in uncertain networks.

Supply Chain Disruption

When deliveries stop, decisions can’t. We help you uncover root causes fast, explore alternative sourcing, and regain control in uncertain networks.

Geopolitical Shifts

Sanctions. Conflicts. Global instability. We model scenario impacts on your operations and help you adjust strategy before markets react.

Geopolitical Shifts

Sanctions. Conflicts. Global instability. We model scenario impacts on your operations and help you adjust strategy before markets react.

Geopolitical Shifts

Sanctions. Conflicts. Global instability. We model scenario impacts on your operations and help you adjust strategy before markets react.

New Regulations & Tariffs

Legal shifts become business risks. We clarify what’s urgent, what’s strategic—and what gives you an edge under the new rules.

New Regulations & Tariffs

Legal shifts become business risks. We clarify what’s urgent, what’s strategic—and what gives you an edge under the new rules.

New Regulations & Tariffs

Legal shifts become business risks. We clarify what’s urgent, what’s strategic and what gives you an edge under the new rules.

Market Entry or Exit

Big moves need bold thinking. We build custom foresight to help you decide when to scale, pause, or pivot—based on more than gut feeling.

Market Entry or Exit

Big moves need bold thinking. We build custom foresight to help you decide when to scale, pause, or pivot—based on more than gut feeling.

Market Entry or Exit

Big moves need bold thinking. We build custom foresight to help you decide when to scale, pause, or pivot—based on more than gut feeling.

AI or Tech Pressure

Everyone talks transformation. Few lead it. We decode emerging tech shifts and turn noise into clarity about what matters for you.

AI or Tech Pressure

Everyone talks transformation. Few lead it. We decode emerging tech shifts and turn noise into clarity about what matters for you.

AI or Tech Pressure

Everyone talks transformation. Few lead it. We decode emerging tech shifts and turn noise into clarity about what matters for you.

Internal Deadlock & Uncertainty

When leadership is stuck, time is lost. We break decision gridlock by structuring tension into actionable strategic paths with you.

Internal Deadlock & Uncertainty

When leadership is stuck, time is lost. We break decision gridlock by structuring tension into actionable strategic paths with you.

Internal Deadlock & Uncertainty

When leadership is stuck, time is lost. We break decision gridlock by structuring tension into actionable strategic paths with you.

OUR COMMITMENT

5% for future shapers.

We believe in long-term thinking – not just for business, but for society. That’s why we donate 5% of our net profit to projects that empower children and young people to grow, dream, and dare. This is our way of backing the next generation of brave, even foolish thinkers. The ones who question, imagine, and shape what’s next. We proudly partner with these organizations:

OUR COMMITMENT

5% for future shapers.

We believe in long-term thinking – not just for business, but for society. That’s why we donate 5% of our net profit to projects that empower children and young people to grow, dream, and dare. This is our way of backing the next generation of brave, even foolish thinkers. The ones who question, imagine, and shape what’s next. We proudly partner with these organizations:

OUR COMMITMENT

5% for future shapers.

We believe in long-term thinking – not just for business, but for society. That’s why we donate 5% of our net revenue to projects that empower children and young people to grow, dream, and dare. This is our way of backing the next generation of brave, even foolish thinkers. The ones who question, imagine, and shape what’s next.

FAQs

Questions?
We've got answers.

Discover clarity and insights as we unravel
answers to your questions.

Contact Us

What exactly is a “Decision-as-a-Service”?

We deliver decision clarity, not just data or advice. You give us a context or trigger – we provide structured decision options, grounded in foresight and tailored to your business reality.

Is this consulting, a platform, or a product?

When should I reach out to you?

Do you also support long-term strategy work – not just crisis response?

What kind of companies do you usually work with?

FAQs

Questions?
We've got answers.

Discover clarity and insights as we unravel
answers to your questions.

Contact Us

What exactly is a “Decision-as-a-Service”?

We deliver decision clarity, not just data or advice. You give us a context or trigger – we provide structured decision options, grounded in foresight and tailored to your business reality.

Is this consulting, a platform, or a product?

When should I reach out to you?

Do you also support long-term strategy work – not just crisis response?

What kind of companies do you usually work with?

FAQs

Questions?
We've got answers.

Contact Us

What exactly is a “Decision-as-a-Service”?

We deliver decision clarity, not just data or advice. You give us a context or trigger – we provide structured decision options, grounded in foresight and tailored to your business reality.

New

Crisis-ready in 48 hours

New

Crisis-ready in 48 hours

Decision-making, rethought.For speed. For shocks. For strategy.

Decision-makingrethought.For speed. For shocks. For strategy.

The pioneering DaaS company. Decision-as-a-service for turbulent times.

Explore the Approach

Explore the Approach

Plans collapse under pressure

Black swans break predictions

Bold decisions are delayed or avoided

Teams react. They don’t anticipate.

Survival over Strategy

No decision logic, just gut feeling.

Plans collapse under pressure

Black swans break predictions

Bold decisions are delayed or avoided

Teams react. They don’t anticipate.

Survival over Strategy

No decision logic, just gut feeling.

Plans collapse under pressure

Black swans break predictions

Bold decisions are delayed or avoided

Teams react. They don’t anticipate.

Survival over Strategy

No decision logic, just gut feeling.

STEP 1

STEP 2

STEP 3

01

Sense the Signals

We scan immediate disruptions and emerging signals — across data, behavior, and discourse. From sudden shocks to slow shifts, we decode what’s happening now and detect the patterns shaping what’s next.

STEP 1

STEP 2

STEP 3

01

Sense the Signals

We scan immediate disruptions and emerging signals — across data, behavior, and discourse. From sudden shocks to slow shifts, we decode what’s happening now and detect the patterns shaping what’s next.

STEP 1

STEP 2

STEP 3

01

Sense the Signals

We scan immediate disruptions and emerging signals — across data, behavior, and discourse. From sudden shocks to slow shifts, we decode what’s happening now and detect the patterns shaping what’s next.

Resilience meets Agility

We help you stay grounded in what works – while adapting fast when it matters most.

Resilience meets Agility

We help you stay grounded in what works – while adapting fast when it matters most.

Resilience meets Agility

We help you stay grounded in what works – while adapting fast when it matters most.

Clearer Future Orientation

We connect trends, tensions, and trajectories and help you to shape future-fit strategies that outlast the noise.

Clearer Future Orientation

We connect trends, tensions, and trajectories and help you to shape future-fit strategies that outlast the noise.

Clearer Future Orientation

We connect trends, tensions, and trajectories and help you to shape future-fit strategies that outlast the noise.

More Confident Decisions

We turn uncertainty into bold, well-grounded options – so your team can move forward with confidence.

More Confident Decisions

We turn uncertainty into bold, well-grounded options – so your team can move forward with confidence.

More Confident Decisions

We turn uncertainty into bold, well-grounded options – so your team can move forward with confidence.

OUR FRAMEWORK

The BBB Framework

We help you navigate chaos with clarity. Our Foolish Futures BBB Framework connects short-term pressure with long-term vision – and turns tension into momentum. Between Blue, Bridge, and Bold lies your decision space.

Explore the Framework

Explore the Framework

SERVICES & PRODUCTS

That’s why we offer Decision-as-a-Service – powered by AI-supported foresight and real-world strategy tools. Our three solutions deliver clarity under pressure: structured, fast, and focused on what truly matters.

🟪 Rapid Foresight

– Clarity in 48h ✅ What you get: Decision kit within 48 hours – including: 🟣 Structured breakdown of the shock event 🟣 2–3 relevant future scenarios 🟣 Ready-to-use decision templates with strategic response options 🟣 Optional Executive call to align and prioritize actions

Request 48h Sprint

🎯 When to use it: After ext shocks, political shifts, supply chain breakdowns – when leadership needs clarity now.

👥 Ideal for: Executive teams, crisis units, M&A leads

💥 Your benefit: Faster alignment under pressure. No guesswork – just decision clarity in record time.

🟦 Future Frame

– Strategic Direction ✅ What you get: A tailored foresight package combining: 🔵 Global megatrend analysis 🔵 Strategic scenario mapping 🔵 Industry-specific implications 🔵 Actionable triggers for strategy updates 🔵 Delivered as a board-ready insight deck or in-person session

Get your Future Frame

🎯 When to use it: During strategy reviews, transformations, when long-term direction feels off.

Decision-making, rethought.
For speed. For shocks. For strategy.

Decision-making
rethought.
For speed.
For shocks.
For strategy.